Journal of Applied Economic Research
ISSN 2712-7435
Socio-Economic Factors Determining the Dissemination of Hiv Infection in the Russian Regions
Podymova A.S., Turgel I.D., Kuznetsov P.D., Chukavina K.V.
Abstract
Due to the fact that <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:country-region w:st="on">Russia</st1:country-region></st1:place> is on the list of countries with a high level of HIV infection, the investigation of factors stimulating the spread of infection is becoming especially urgent. This article presents an analysis of the similarities between the regions of <st1:country-region w:st="on">Russia</st1:country-region> in terms of socio-economic and demographic indicators, and identifies factors that affect the spread of HIV infection in the regions of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Russia</st1:place></st1:country-region>. The purpose of this study is to identify the socio-economic factors affecting the spread of HIV infection in the regions of <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Russia</st1:place></st1:country-region>, which in the future can be a tool for deliberating recommendations and regulating the situation of infection spread. By using clustering methods, the first stage of the analysis identifies such regions which are similar to the Sverdlovsk Region across thematic blocks and over the whole set of the considered indicators. After highlighting significant factors from the thematic blocks, the impact of these factors on the prevalence of HIV in the Russian regions was estimated with the use of econometric analysis. As a result, it was shown that the richer and more economically developed regions are, the more HIV cases there are. The level of per capita GRP and new housing construction s per capita has a positive direct correlation with the emergence of new HIV cases in the population. The unemployment rate and the share of people with income below the subsistence level have a negative correlation with the number of new HIV cases in the population. In addition to economic factors, social factors of HIV infection were proved to be significant. The level of education and culture of the region has a positive direct relationship with the emergence of detected cases of HIV, and the increase in the number of crimes in the region has a reverse effect on the explained variable. The methodology presented in the article for the disclosure of vulnerable groups that influence the spread of HIV infection provides opportunity for estimation of HIV-related risks.
Keywords
HIV infection; socio-economic development indicators of the region; econometric analysis; cluster analysis; factors of HIV infection.
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About Authors
Podymova Anzhelika Sergeevna – Candidate of Medical Sciences, Chief Physician, State Budgetary Healthcare Institution of the Sverdlovsk Region "Sverdlovsk Regional Center for AIDS Prevention and Control", Ekaterinburg, Russia (620102, Ekaterinburg, Yasnaya street, 46); e-mail: glvrach@livehiv.ru.
Turgel Irina Dmitrievna – Doctor of Economics, Professor, Vice Director for Research, Head of the Centre for Research Support, Graduate School of Economics and Management, <st1:placename w:st="on">Ural</st1:placename> <st1:placename w:st="on">Federal</st1:placename> <st1:placetype w:st="on">University</st1:placetype> named after the first President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin, <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:city w:st="on">Ekaterinburg</st1:city>, <st1:country-region w:st="on">Russia</st1:country-region></st1:place> (620002, Ekaterinburg, <st1:street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">Mira street</st1:address></st1:street>, 19); e-mail: i.d.turgel@urfu.ru.
Kuznetsov Pavel Dmitrievich – Director of <st1:placename w:st="on">Monitoring</st1:placename> <st1:placetype w:st="on">Center</st1:placetype> for Science and Education, Senior Lecturer of the Department of Management Theory and Practice, Graduate School of Economics and Management, <st1:placename w:st="on">Ural</st1:placename> <st1:placename w:st="on">Federal</st1:placename> <st1:placetype w:st="on">University</st1:placetype> named after the first President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin, <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:city w:st="on">Ekaterinburg</st1:city>, <st1:country-region w:st="on">Russia</st1:country-region></st1:place> (620002, Ekaterinburg, <st1:street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">Mira street</st1:address></st1:street>, 19); e-mail: pavel.kuznetcov@urfu.ru.
Chukavina Kristina Vladimirovna – Senior Analyst of Monitoring Center for Science and Education, Senior Lecturer of the Department of Econometrics and Statistics, Graduate School of Economics and Management, <st1:placename w:st="on">Ural</st1:placename> <st1:placename w:st="on">Federal</st1:placename> <st1:placetype w:st="on">University</st1:placetype> named after the first President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin, <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:city w:st="on">Ekaterinburg</st1:city>, <st1:country-region w:st="on">Russia</st1:country-region></st1:place> (620002, Ekaterinburg, <st1:street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">Mira street</st1:address></st1:street>, 19); e-mail: k.v.chukavina@urfu.ru.
For citation
Podymova A.S., Turgel I.D., Kuznetsov P.D., Chukavina K.V. Socio-Economic Factors Determining the Dissemination of HIV Infection in the Russian Regions.. Bulletin of Ural <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:placename w:st="on">Federal</st1:placename> <st1:placetype w:st="on">University</st1:placetype></st1:place>. Series Economics and Management, 2018, Vol. 17, No. 2, 242-262. DOI: 10.15826/vestnik.2018.17.2.011.
Article info
Received February 13, 2018; Accepted March 19, 2018.
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.2018.17.2.011
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